York County might be in for a snowy winter this year.
An above-normal snowfall expected for major Interstate 95 cities - New York, Philadelphia, Baltimore and Washington, D.C. - could happen for York as well, according to Mike Pigott, senior meteorologist with AccuWeather.com.
"It's not a guarantee, but an increased chance of that situation," he said.
AccuWeather.com issued a long-term forecast for winter on Wednesday, warning that the major cities could see large snowstorms and experience some weather-related travel headaches especially in January and February.
"It looks like we will have wetter then average precipitation amounts in the northeast for winter," he said. "El Nino and the jet stream patterns in winter oftentimes force storms south and then up the northeastern coast. Get some cold air (phasing in) just right and you can see a larger number of snowfall events."
York County averages between 25 and 30 inches of snow, said Kevin Fitzgerald, senior meteorologist with the National Weather Service.
He said the weather service has not seen a weather pattern indicating an above normal snowfall.
"That's really difficult to forecast that far ahead," Fitzgerald said. "We are going into an El Nino phase this fall and winter, but it's a weak correlation with above normal (forecasts). We've had El Nino years seeing below-normal snowfall."
Based on reports from the service's Climate Prediction Center, there is a 45 percent chance that the area will get warmer winter weather than normal, Fitzgerald said. The center usually predicts that winter temperatures equally have 33 percent chance of being above normal, normal or below normal, he said.
While the National Weather Service provides three-month season outlooks, it is too soon to do a specific winter-snowfall forecast for the area, Fitzgerald said.
August rainfall: York County has received more than its normal share of rain in August.
The area received 1.9 inches of rain as of Tuesday, Aug. 14, according to the National Weather Service. The norm is 1.56 for the first two weeks of the month.
The area rainfall average for August is 3.43, according to the weather service.